Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.153026 0.180933 0.212093 0.249410 0.292827 0.341691 0.400795
2024-12-22 0.106832 0.141922 0.185463 0.243217 0.317553 0.409724 0.532359
2024-12-29 0.084183 0.122601 0.174373 0.248707 0.352066 0.489966 0.687014
2025-01-05 0.067146 0.105728 0.161474 0.246994 0.373768 0.553393 0.825424
2025-01-12 0.053990 0.091129 0.148201 0.241001 0.386456 0.603548 0.949147
2025-01-19 0.043888 0.078939 0.135916 0.233566 0.394481 0.646044 1.064643
2025-01-26 0.038362 0.073039 0.132296 0.238698 0.421929 0.720227 1.236073
2025-02-02 0.033576 0.067443 0.128092 0.241823 0.445828 0.790585 1.408204
2025-02-09 0.029313 0.061966 0.123104 0.242553 0.465193 0.854819 1.576164
2025-02-16 0.026103 0.057900 0.119975 0.245991 0.489392 0.929331 1.768883
2025-02-23 0.024035 0.055751 0.120107 0.255446 0.525531 1.028310 2.014593
2025-03-02 0.020578 0.050025 0.112240 0.247969 0.528154 1.065844 2.150925
2025-03-09 0.018348 0.046672 0.108888 0.249482 0.549232 1.141333 2.368713
2025-03-16 0.016016 0.042653 0.103507 0.245975 0.559686 1.197468 2.555248
2025-03-23 0.014692 0.040809 0.102645 0.252138 0.591072 1.298235 2.840173
2025-03-30 0.013034 0.037797 0.098617 0.250540 0.605335 1.365249 3.062644
2025-04-06 0.011346 0.034371 0.093045 0.244496 0.608815 1.409761 3.242146
2025-04-13 0.009818 0.031064 0.087223 0.236966 0.607828 1.444307 3.403333
2025-04-20 0.009083 0.029861 0.086579 0.242170 0.637440 1.549040 3.727788
2025-04-27 0.008334 0.028469 0.085217 0.245338 0.662450 1.645738 4.043142
2025-05-04 0.007571 0.026875 0.083052 0.246078 0.681488 1.730443 4.338863
2025-05-11 0.006987 0.025729 0.081962 0.249564 0.707894 1.834934 4.690034
2025-05-18 0.006654 0.025346 0.083017 0.259147 0.751275 1.984163 5.160387